The 'New Cold War' Heats Up in Africa: A Geopolitical Battleground for Great Powers

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Amid increasing global competition, Africa emerges as a pivotal battleground in what some analysts refer to as a ‘New Cold War’ among major powers such as the United States, Russia, and China. According to research by Pádraig Carmody, this renewed geopolitical rivalry reflects a shift from economic to strategic interests on the continent. External actors vie for Africa’s vast resources, including crucial minerals for the green transition like cobalt, of which 70% of global reserves are found in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Recent trends highlight China's deepening economic influence, despite its retrenching in terms of funding major projects such as the Belt and Road Initiative. On the other hand, Russia's role, while expanding through security cooperation, faces challenges due to perceptions of decreasing military efficacy.

Carmody notes that African political elites are leveraging this competition to their advantage, though concerns remain over the potential erosion of democratic rights as authoritarian regimes may flourish amidst external support. The implications of this geopolitical dance suggest Africa's growing global influence, but also raise critical questions about the impact on governance and human rights.

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