The Future of U.S. Democracy Under Trump: Predictions and Concerns

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A University of Sydney instructor, Benjamin E. Goldsmith, reflects on the precarious state of U.S. democracy and its implications for international relations. His analysis posits that the culture surrounding political norms and values is essential in safeguarding democracy from authoritarianism. With Donald Trump’s re-election, Goldsmith argues that the U.S. may soon transition to an “illiberal political system” that preserves Trump's power even beyond 2028.

According to Goldsmith, Trump's disregard for democratic values could undermine essential institutions like the press and the rule of law. He draws parallels to the rise of authoritarian regimes, noting that a lack of genuine political competition could emerge if Trump weaponizes legal institutions against opponents. Such changes, he suggests, could lead the U.S. to join China and Russia as a military superpower that is also non-democratic.

Goldsmith emphasizes the potential for a significant shift in international politics, forecasting that nationalism will dominate great power relations as the U.S. sheds its democratic values and soft power. He cautions that without a robust political culture valuing democracy, the future of U.S. democracy appears dire.

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