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A recent meeting in Washington highlighted urgent concerns among scientists regarding the growing unpredictability of extreme weather events, prompting calls to reevaluate current climate models. Researchers, as reported by Bloomberg, identify that unforeseen climate behaviors are complicating forecasting efforts and leaving communities ill-prepared for severe conditions.
Among the issues discussed was the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which significantly influences winter weather in North America and Europe. Princeton researcher Ivan Mitevski noted that rising carbon dioxide levels are shifting the NAO towards milder temperatures, complicating long-term predictions. Flood modeling has also faced criticism, with Fathom chief scientist Oliver Wing stating that existing models may be severely flawed.
This unpredictability has global implications. A recent study indicated that such patterns could make major storm occurrences, like those seen in the Philippines, nearly twice as likely due to climate change. As researchers explore potential solutions, including geoengineering, there are concerns about funding cuts to essential climate research, highlighting the need for both scientific innovation and policy support.