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The international scientific community is urgently monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4, which currently has a more than 2% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. As the asteroid moves away from Earth, its observation becomes increasingly difficult, requiring increasingly larger telescopes to track it, according to the European Space Agency's Juan Luis Cano.
First discovered on December 27, 2024, by a telescope in Chile, the asteroid has garnered over 340 observations globally, allowing scientists to estimate its trajectory. If observations from the James Webb Space Telescope in late April do not rule out a potential impact, researchers face a wait until April 2028 for the next opportunity to observe it closely. Researchers emphasize there is a 90% chance of ruling out the threat of impact by May.
The asteroid’s dimensions remain uncertain, estimated between 40 to 90 meters. A collision poses risks, but scientists believe deflection missions could be prepared if necessary. The United Nations' planetary defense bodies have been activated to monitor the asteroid and discuss potential response strategies, indicating evolving global concern over planetary threats.