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Political instability in East Asia is posing challenges for democratic nations, with a significant impact on U.S. interests in the region. According to Patrick Zoll of Neue Zürcher Zeitung, South Korea is facing chaos after President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law in early December, leading to his imprisonment and a subsequent impeachment process. This turmoil risks undermining trilateral cooperation between the U.S., South Korea, and Japan, essential for regional security.
In Taiwan, political divisions hamper effective governance, as the opposition party controls parliament amid rising military threats from China. Lai Ching-te, president from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, faces budget cuts from the Kuomintang, jeopardizing defense funding. Similarly, political infighting in the Philippines between the Marcos and Duterte families distracts from addressing China's expanding presence in contested waters.
Zoll notes that these internal conflicts risk weakening deterrence strategies against China at a time when U.S. engagement in the region remains uncertain. With the fragile democratic systems under strain, the Communist Party of China may find opportunities to exert influence amidst the discord.