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A recent government report from Japan has raised alarms about a potential megaquake along the Nankai Trough, which could result in significant loss of life and extensive economic damage. According to the report, a magnitude 9 earthquake could kill approximately 300,000 individuals and lead to economic losses of around $1.81 trillion (approximately 270.3 trillion yen). This figure has increased from previous estimates due to new data, including inflation adjustments and updated flood zone mappings.
The report suggests that if such an event occurs, Japan could see as many as 1.23 million evacuees, representing about 10% of the nation’s total population. Moreover, if the quake strikes at night during winter, the death toll could climb significantly due to the risk of tsunamis and collapsing buildings.
The Japanese government reported an 80% probability of a magnitude 8 to 9 earthquake occurring in the Nankai Trough, a region prone to seismic activity due to tectonic plate interactions. Previous seismic events, including the catastrophic 2011 earthquake and tsunami, underline the gravity of these warnings.