Great Powers Compete in Africa: Signs of a New Cold War?

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A new analysis by Pádraig Carmody suggests that the increasing geopolitical competition among major powers like the US, Russia, and China could indicate a 'New Cold War' in Africa. As global tensions rise, African nations may find themselves at the center of external power struggles, mirroring patterns from the original Cold War. Despite different goals among these powers, systemic competition is evident, particularly with Africa's rich resources and growing market potential.

Carmody points out a shift from geo-economic interests to broader geo-strategic stakes, with China’s investments in infrastructure and resources playing a significant role. Additionally, while Russia’s influence is seen through security cooperation and paramilitary activities, its decreasing arms sales have raised questions about its power in the region. The analysis posits that African countries might leverage this competition to enhance their own political ends but warns of possible authoritarianism as external support for stabilizing regimes grows. The study emphasizes the need for African actors to navigate this complex landscape to maximize their advantages.

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