European Space Agency Monitors Asteroid on Potential Collision Course with Earth

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The European Space Agency (ESA) is closely monitoring an asteroid named 2024 YR4, measuring 100 meters by 40 meters, which could pose a threat to Earth in approximately seven years. According to ESA, the asteroid has a one in 83 chance of impacting the planet, potentially causing "severe damage to a local region." Currently, 2024 YR4 is about 27 million miles away and moving further from Earth, but it is expected to cross the Earth’s orbit on December 22, 2032.

Experts anticipate a near miss, with the asteroid likely passing within a few thousand miles of Earth. The Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, chaired by ESA, plans to discuss the asteroid's trajectory in an upcoming meeting in Vienna. Should the impact risk be confirmed, the group will make recommendations to the United Nations and explore possible spacecraft interventions.

Dr. Simeon Barber, a space scientist at the Open University, cautioned against panic, stating that early detection systems often overestimate impact probabilities due to uncertainties in the asteroid's trajectory. Early alerts like this one may become more common as detection technologies improve.

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