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Tesla CEO Elon Musk has raised alarms regarding a significant global population decline, referring to it as one of the world’s most pressing issues. Musk's concerns were voiced on social media, where he cited a graph originally shared by the Tesla Owners Silicon Valley group that projects demographic changes from 2018 to 2100.
The graph highlights troubling population trends in major countries like Nigeria, the United States, Indonesia, and Pakistan. Musk reposted the graphic, endorsing the claim that "Population collapse is humanity’s greatest threat."
Recent reports indicate that the average number of children per woman is falling below the replacement level of 2.1 in many nations. For example, in England and Wales, this figure has dropped to a record low of 1.44. Globally, fertility rates have plummeted from an average of 5.3 children per woman in 1963 to significantly lower levels today.
Further projections indicate that while India and China had similar populations of approximately 1.5 billion in 2018, significant declines are expected by 2100. India's population may decrease to just under 1.1 billion, while China's is forecasted to plunge to 731.9 million. Conversely, Nigeria is projected to become the world’s second most populous nation with a population of 790.1 million by the end of the century.
Experts warn that the pace of population decline in these countries may be faster than previously anticipated, raising concerns for future demographic stability.