Asteroid 2024 YR4’s Impact Risk Doubles, Moon Collision Possible

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An asteroid designated 2024 YR4 has increased its odds of colliding with Earth to 2.3% on December 22, 2032, according to NASA scientists. The estimated diameter of the asteroid is around 55 meters (about 180 feet), comparable in height to Cinderella Castle at Walt Disney World, and it is traveling at nearly 48,000 kilometers per hour (30,000 mph). If it struck Earth, the impact could release energy equivalent to approximately 8 megatons of TNT, significantly surpassing the Hiroshima bomb's yield.

In a potentially alarming twist, the asteroid also has a 0.3% chance of colliding with the Moon. David Rankin, an operations engineer at the University of Arizona, stated that such a collision would be visible from Earth, although it poses little threat to our planet. Importantly, there remains a 97.9% chance that the asteroid will miss both Earth and the Moon entirely. An international team of scientists is set to use the James Webb Space Telescope for more precise measurements of 2024 YR4's size and trajectory, enhancing predictions for this near-Earth object.

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